Showing posts with label job numbers. Show all posts
Showing posts with label job numbers. Show all posts

Saturday, January 11, 2020

Using the DOT Industry Designation to Erode Numbers Reported by Job Browser Pro

We talked about the release of Job Browser Pro 1.7 last year.  Here is the most important features of ver. 1.7 that differ from prior versions:
Because the extensive research we have done has enabled estimation of employment at a weighted average of 88.3% for each SOC/OES group, we no longer allow customers to immediately modify NAICS industries for a DOT occupation. We do allow customers to submit suggestions, which we will review and incorporate into a subsequent update as appropriate. We want to prevent double counting and inappropriate NAICS, so we will study each suggestion in the context of the impact of that suggestion on the entire SOC/OES Group.
The emphasis belongs to SkillTran.  A vocational expert that uses a prior version of JBP can add industry codes, double count two, three, four, five, and six digit NAICS codes.  That makes the job number estimate unreliable.

 Our objective is to establish that the industry code (NAICS) assignments either double count or are just wrong.  We can start with lens inserter (DOT 713.687-026).  JBP assigns lens inserter to jewelry and silverware (NAICS 332210) and estimate 183 jobs.  But the DOT industry assignment is optical goods manufacturing, not jewelry and silverware.

We can show the correct industry assignment for occupations in the optical goods industry by examining final assembler (DOT 713.687-018).  JBP assigns final assembler to the medical equipment and supplies manufacturing industry group (NAICS 339100).  JBP links to its restatement of County Business Patterns, the blue CBP link.  That leads here.  Once there, we can click on the Show Products for this NAICS button.  Medical equipment and supplies manufacturing group includes the manufacture o eyeglass frames (NAICS 339115), the focus of final assembler job duties.  NAICS 339115 is the specific industry for ophthalmic goods manufacturing, a subset of medical equipment and supplies manufacturing industry.

We return to lens inserter and find the duties involve fitting lenses into sunglass frames.  The manufacture of sunglasses and goggles is a medical equipment and supplies manufacturing industry group is found in NAICS 339115, the ophthalmic goods manufacturing manufacturing industry.  Clearly lens inserter should include NAICS 339100 as the industry group that includes NAICS 339115.  But should it include NAICS 332210, jewelry and silverware manufacturing?

No.  Following the blue CBP link for jewelry and silverware manufacturing leads here.  The Show Products for this NAICS button displays the products manufactured in this specific industry.  The manufacture of glass(es), frame(s), lens(es), or anything related to the optical goods industry and the narrative description of lens inserter is missing.

That leads to the SSR 00-4p question of apparent conflict with the DOT.  There is an apparent conflict if and only if the JBP report for lens inserter is in the record.  The DOT is in the record by virtue of the ruling.  But the submission of the JBP report is the representative's responsibility on a post-hearing submission.  We must create a record that shows an apparent conflict and then ask the ALJ to resolve the conflict based on a reliable methodology.

Obviously the report of 183 jobs is rarely a concern.  The VE probably did not identify 183 jobs reported by JBP.  The VE probably identified what most of them identify, circa 20,000 jobs.  Submission of the JBP report for lens inserter establishes a conflict point and the submission of final assembler represents a more reliable estimate.  JBP reports 281,335 employees in the medical equipment and supplies manufacturing industry group.  If anyone believes that 9% of those jobs are unskilled sedentary production workers, all other, I do have a bridge to sell.

A more common problem is identification of unskilled light work, e.g. small products assembler I (DOT 706.684-022).  We address that occupation in the next blog.

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SUGGESTED CITATION:

Lawrence Rohlfing, Using the DOT Industry Designation to Erode Numbers Reported by Job Browser Pro," California Social Security Attorney (January 11, 2020),
http://californiasocialsecurityattorney.blogspot.com/2020/01/using-dot-industry-designation-to-erode.html



Wednesday, December 4, 2019

Oral Argument in Keifer v. Saul -- Extension of Full Waiver Rules to Non-Attorney Representatives

I argued Keifer v. Saul to the Ninth Circuit on December 2, 2019.  The issue is simple, the vocational expert identified the number of production jobs, twice, and claimed that the entire OES group applied, twice, to both sedentary 1-2 step occupations.  The VE did the same with a filling machine operator occupation and an inspector occupation.  The non-attorney representative did not present the conflict to the ALJ.  The case was a prior remand from the District Court.  The case bypassed the Appeals Council.

Keifer asked the USDC to take notice of the Occupational Employment Statistics showing the exact number of jobs identified by the VE in all four occupations and the Occupational Outlook Handbook to show that the occupations required moderate-term on-the-job training -- semi-skilled or skilled as typically performed.  The USDC found waiver applied to the non-attorney representative, extending Meanel v. Apfel and Shaibi v. Berryhill.

Judge Callahan suggested that the court treat pro pers from administrative proceedings in the same way that they do in federal court proceedings -- no slack.  Judge Bade wondered how the differential treatment crept into the law.  Visiting Judge Lucero did not appear too concerned about the origin of the concept.

My prediction is simple.  The court will extend issue waiver before the ALJ to non-attorney representatives.  The duty to present evidence to the ALJ will extend from "at least where represented by counsel" to "where represented by any professional representatives."  The issue of pro per claimants is is not before the court.

Te court will drive the fulcrum between McLeod v. Astrue, permitting the claimant to submit VA evidence to the court, and Chaudhry v. Astrue, because here we have a representative that is registered and qualified for direct payment -- a professional representative.

There is a discussion about the ramifications of waiver -- legal or professional malpractice.  Where the case is clearly on the cusp, failure to develop the conflicting evidence will likely fall below the standard of reasonable care.  Sedentary 1-2 step work does not exist, at least not  in significant numbers based on a reliable method for extrapolating local experience to the national economy.  Ask the vocational expert:

1. What is your source
2. What is your methodology
3. Replicate the source and methodology
4. Submit that evidence to the ALJ
5. Force the ALJ to resolve the conflict in the evidence
6. Seek review by the Appeals Council
7. Seek review by the District Court

Expect a decision early next year in Keifer.  This is another step where the courts demand that if we believe the VE testimony is insubstantial, we must prove it ... to the ALJ.
_______________________________________________________

SUGGESTED CITATION:

Lawrence Rohlfing, Oral Argument in Keifer v. Saul -- Extension of Full Waiver Rules to Non-Attorney Representatives, California Social Security Attorney (December 4, 2019),
http://californiasocialsecurityattorney.blogspot.com/2019/12/oral-argument-in-keifer-v-saul.html


Wednesday, January 16, 2019

Announcing the Occupation Calculator on OccuCollect


Lift & Carry Report
LENS INSERTER
713.687-026
DOT: 713.687-026 LENS INSERTER (optical goods) alternate titles: roll-over loader Fits lenses into plastic sunglass frames and places frames on conveyor belt that passes under heat lamps which soften frames preparatory to setting of lenses. GOE: 06.04.23 STRENGTH: S GED: R1 M1 L1 SVP: 2 DLU: 77
51-9199.00 - Production workers, all other
Typical Entry-Level Education
High school diploma or equivalent
Work experience in a related occupation
None
On the job training
Moderate-term on-the-job training
Number of jobs, 2016
263,500


Source:
Bureau of Labor Statistics, U.S. Department of Labor, Occupational Outlook Handbook, Data for Occupations Not Covered in Detail, on the Internet at https://www.bls.gov/ooh/about/data-for-occupations-not-covered-in-detail.htm

All OOH Education & Training: Education And Training By Occupation

LENS INSERTER
713.687-026
The SCO does not provide data on SVP different from that reported in the DOT.
51-9199.00 - Production workers, all other
The O*NET database version 23.0 reports SVP for aggregate occupational groups based on incumbent surveys.

51-9199.00 - Production workers, all other
Series ID: ORUP1000031A00000233
Not seasonally adjusted
Series Title: production workers, all other; pounds maximum weight lifted/carried, mean
Requirement: Physical Demands
Occupation: production workers, all other
Estimate: pounds maximum weight lifted/carried, mean
Year
Period
Estimate
2017
Annual
40.46

Series ID: ORUP1000031A00000234
Not seasonally adjusted
Series Title: production workers, all other; pounds maximum weight lifted/carried (10th percentile)
Requirement: Physical Demands
Occupation: production workers, all other
Estimate: pounds maximum weight lifted/carried (10th percentile)
Year
Period
Estimate
2017
Annual
10

Series ID: ORUP1000031A00000235
Not seasonally adjusted
Series Title: production workers, all other; pounds maximum weight lifted/carried (25th percentile)
Requirement: Physical Demands
Occupation: production workers, all other
Estimate: pounds maximum weight lifted/carried (25th percentile)
Year
Period
Estimate
2017
Annual
25

Series ID: ORUP1000031A00000236
Not seasonally adjusted
Series Title: production workers, all other; pounds maximum weight lifted/carried (50th percentile - median)
Requirement: Physical Demands
Occupation: production workers, all other
Estimate: pounds maximum weight lifted/carried (50th percentile - median)
Year
Period
Estimate
2017
Annual
50

Series ID: ORUP1000031A00000237
Not seasonally adjusted
Series Title: production workers, all other; pounds maximum weight lifted/carried (75th percentile)
Requirement: Physical Demands
Occupation: production workers, all other
Estimate: pounds maximum weight lifted/carried (75th percentile)
Year
Period
Estimate
2017
Annual
50

Series ID: ORUP1000031A00000238
Not seasonally adjusted
Series Title: production workers, all other; pounds maximum weight lifted/carried (90th percentile)
Requirement: Physical Demands
Occupation: production workers, all other
Estimate: pounds maximum weight lifted/carried (90th percentile)
Year
Period
Estimate
2017
Annual
50

Series ID: ORUP1000031A00000241
Not seasonally adjusted
Series Title: % of production workers, all other; lifting/carrying > 20 lbs & <= 50 lbs is required, seldom
Requirement: Physical Demands
Occupation: production workers, all other
Estimate: lifting/carrying > 20 lbs & <= 50 lbs is required, seldom
Year
Period
Estimate
2017
Annual
74

Series ID: ORUP1000031A00000246
Not seasonally adjusted
Series Title: % of production workers, all other; lifting/carrying up to 10 lbs is required, occasionally
Requirement: Physical Demands
Occupation: production workers, all other
Estimate: lifting/carrying up to 10 lbs is required, occasionally
Year
Period
Estimate
2017
Annual
45.4

Series ID: ORUP1000031A00000248
Not seasonally adjusted
Series Title: % of production workers, all other; lifting/carrying > 20 lbs & <= 50 lbs is required, occasionally
Requirement: Physical Demands
Occupation: production workers, all other
Estimate: lifting/carrying > 20 lbs & <= 50 lbs is required, occasionally
Year
Period
Estimate
2017
Annual
30.3

Series ID: ORUP1000031A00000259
Not seasonally adjusted
Series Title: % of production workers, all other; lifting/carrying no weight is required, constantly
Requirement: Physical Demands
Occupation: production workers, all other
Estimate: lifting/carrying no weight is required, constantly
Year
Period
Estimate
2017
Annual
22.1

Series ID: ORUP1000031A00000262
Not seasonally adjusted
Series Title: % of production workers, all other; lifting/carrying up to 10 lbs is required, constantly
Requirement: Physical Demands
Occupation: production workers, all other
Estimate: lifting/carrying up to 10 lbs is required, constantly
Year
Period
Estimate
2017
Annual
38.5

Series ID: ORUP1000031A00000663
Not seasonally adjusted
Series Title: % of production workers, all other; strength is medium work
Requirement: Physical Demands
Occupation: production workers, all other
Estimate: strength is medium work
Year
Period
Estimate
2017
Annual
73.9

Series ID: ORUV1000031A00000065
Not seasonally adjusted
Series Title: % of production workers, all other; svp is beyond short demonstration, up to & including 1 month
Requirement: Education, Training, And Experience
Occupation: production workers, all other
Estimate: svp is beyond short demonstration, up to & including 1 month
Year
Period
Estimate
2017
Annual
46.3

51-9199.00 - Production workers, all other
Strength Calculations
Strength Type
Value
Jobs
Calculation
Medium Work
73.9%
263,500
194,727

Lifting/Carrying Calculations
Lifting/Carrying Type
Value
Jobs
Calculation
lifting/carrying > 20 lbs & <= 50 lbs is required, seldom
74%
263,500
194,990
lifting/carrying up to 10 lbs is required, occasionally
45.4%
263,500
119,629
lifting/carrying > 20 lbs & <= 50 lbs is required, occasionally
30.3%
263,500
79,841
lifting/carrying no weight is required, constantly
22.1%
263,500
58,234
lifting/carrying up to 10 lbs is required, constantly
38.5%
263,500
101,448

SVP Calculations
SVP
Value
Jobs
Calculation
SVP 2
46.3%
263,500
122,001