Friday, November 9, 2018

Button and Notion Industry

Last week, we discussed Aida Worthington and her tacit concessions of perjury in a Social Security disability hearing.  Worthington identified assembler (button and notions) DOT 734.687-018. 

734.687-018 ASSEMBLER (button & notion) Inserts paper label in back of celluloid or metal advertising buttons and forces shaped stickpin under rim.                                    GOE: 06.04.23 STRENGTH: S GED: R1 M1 L1 SVP: 2 DLU: 77
This occupation belongs to production workers, all other (SOC 51-9199) with 1,590 DOT codes.  Occu Collect reports:

SOC Code: 51-9199.00
O*NET URL: https://www.onetonline.org/link/summary/51-9199.00



51-9199 Production workers, all other

Typical Education Needed
High school diploma or equivalent
Work Experience in a Related Occupation
None
Typical On-The-Job Training Needed to Attain Competency
Moderate-term on-the-job training
2016 Employment
263,500

Under the equal distribution method of estimating job numbers, we divide 263,500 jobs by 1,590, we get 166 jobs.  

Under the occupational density model, we have to determine the industry.  Job Browser Pro reports no jobs because the industry is too small.  The 2017 NAICS Manual sets out the industry designations used by County Business Patterns.  Page 308:
33999 All Other Miscellaneous Manufacturing T
This industry comprises establishments primarily engaged in miscellaneous manufacturing (except medical equipment and supplies, jewelry and flatware, sporting and athletic goods, dolls, toys, games, office supplies (except paper), and signs).
Illustrative Examples:
Artificial Christmas trees manufacturing
Burial caskets and cases manufacturing
Candles manufacturing
Coin-operated amusement machines (except jukebox) manufacturing
Electronic cigarettes manufacturing
Floor and dust mops manufacturing
Fasteners, buttons, needles, and pins (except precious metals or precious and semiprecious stones and gems) manufacturingGasket, packing, and sealing devices manufacturing
Musical instruments (except toy) manufacturing
Portable fire extinguishers manufacturing
Umbrellas manufacturing
In the US economy, we use the six-digit code reported on page 309:
339993 Fastener, Button, Needle, and Pin Manufacturing
This U.S. industry comprises establishments primarily engaged in manufacturing fasteners, buttons, needles, pins, and buckles (except made of precious metals or precious and semiprecious stones and gems).

We have an industry that employs 4,376 people -- total, all occupations.  The employment projections:

The industry sector group employs 5,400 production workers, all other.  The only data that proves useful here is the percent of occupation -- 2% of the industry group work in a position that is production workers, all other.  Using that percentage against the industry reported yields 88 jobs.  

Now we need to look at the number of DOT codes that Labor classifies in production workers, all other, and and the industry designation of button and notions.  

With 21 DOT codes and an estimated 88 jobs as production workers, all other, any estimate greater than 5 jobs as an assembler (buttons and notions) would require some reliable basis.  There isn't one.  The occupation, like the whole of production workers, all other is specious as to sedentary work and suspect as to light work.  
 

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